Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 90.232285 100.558577 111.094047 122.616817 134.835074 147.376368 161.193811
2025-02-09 73.140229 87.914290 103.640108 121.503319 141.114061 161.878943 185.420285
2025-02-16 62.425955 79.550028 98.368150 120.334365 145.035299 171.737707 202.574443
2025-02-23 55.430337 74.363047 95.748888 121.284744 150.561421 182.730340 220.410824
2025-03-02 49.176212 69.321761 92.676488 121.148029 154.359296 191.374118 235.260934
2025-03-09 44.389328 65.545904 90.666108 121.863387 158.807459 200.487377 250.414593
2025-03-16 39.271019 60.907566 87.244114 120.571328 160.631217 206.364801 261.688540
2025-03-23 36.243302 58.646154 86.496509 122.290124 165.838276 216.026104 277.209729
2025-03-30 33.718712 56.821394 86.118227 124.312689 171.293699 225.896887 292.920315
2025-04-06 30.277196 53.499174 83.627341 123.540404 173.232140 231.519029 303.593399
2025-04-13 26.460057 49.357956 79.836072 120.925987 172.749590 234.130160 310.616901
2025-04-20 25.506377 49.192901 81.213300 124.832521 180.263032 246.284062 328.916096
2025-04-27 24.139804 48.358881 81.674234 127.579858 186.397973 256.878682 345.510031
2025-05-04 21.521118 45.463724 79.196606 126.398598 187.540947 261.389810 354.828839
2025-05-11 19.152783 42.748972 76.811781 125.207553 188.565495 265.676189 363.815392
2025-05-18 17.662073 41.295914 76.107008 126.180044 192.291264 273.238469 376.733866
2025-05-25 15.976807 39.381282 74.638034 126.040163 194.527861 278.924661 387.355731
2025-06-01 14.673983 37.995079 73.855810 126.772830 197.848726 285.927722 399.567734
2025-06-08 12.953128 35.721848 71.647461 125.449440 198.419942 289.455693 407.500286
2025-06-15 12.126257 34.975411 71.681738 127.209891 203.016094 298.014048 421.606152
2025-06-22 11.430725 34.410533 71.954750 129.281179 208.011524 307.075489 436.344425
2025-06-29 10.159842 32.624362 70.253891 128.490328 209.157901 311.246850 445.028578
2025-07-06 8.625303 30.129436 67.308338 125.812713 207.698508 312.050889 449.492160